TUNIS | Mon Oct 24, 2011 8:30am EDT
(Reuters) – Moderate Islamists said Monday their party appeared to be ahead in Tunisia’s first free election since an uprising earlier this year that set off the Arab Spring revolts, hinting at a shift in a country long known for its secularism.
Most forecasts point to the Ennahda party emerging with the biggest share of the vote, an outcome that worries secularists and could be replicated in other Arab states when they hold their own post-Arab Spring elections.
Tunisian radio read out voting figures obtained from districts in the northern town of Beja and other areas that showed Ennahda in the lead, with the center-left Congress for the Republic Party (CRP) also doing well.
Ennahda said its own polling suggested the same. Parties are allowed to have representatives present during the counting process. Partial results are expected later Monday and final results Tuesday.
“The results are very good for Ennahda. We don’t want to give details but it’s clear that Ennahda has enjoyed a level of success that in some cases equals the results of the voting abroad,” an Ennahda official said.
Ennahda, citing its own, unofficial tally from votes cast by the large Tunisian diaspora before Sunday’s election, said there were indications it had won half the vote abroad.
“Ennahda was first in all the foreign polling stations,” its campaign manager, Abdelhamid Jlazzi, told a gathering of party workers. “We got more than 50 percent.”
The 217-seat assembly Tunisians are electing will sit for one year, re-write the constitution, choose a new interim government and set dates for parliamentary and presidential elections.
Turnout was more than 90 percent — a mark of Tunisians’ determination to exercise their new democratic rights after decades of repression.
One secular force accepted defeat, saying leftist groups needed to reevaluate their positions and unite.
“Ennahda succeeded where we failed, we need to restructure a lot of things … We need to unite once again,” Riadh Ben Fadhal of the Democratic Modernist Coalition, an alliance of leftist parties said on Mosaique FM radio.
But the CRP’s Samir bin Omar said the party was hoping to come second, a blow to the Progressive Democratic Party (PDP) which had been seen as Ennahda’s main rival on a platform of refusing to enter into coalition government with Islamists.
The former ruling RCD party of ousted President Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali was dissolved and no political group has emerged as a clear address for supporters of the previous regime.
“According to most statistics we’ve got from around the country, we have are in the second place behind Ennahda nationally,” CRP’s bin Omar said.
State radio reported that incomplete counts in two provincial cities, Sfax and Kef, also had Ennahda in the lead. The CPR was in second place in Sfax while Ettakatol, another socialist group, was runner-up in Kef, the radio said.
With an unexpectedly large number of ballot papers to count, election officials said it was likely to be Monday or even later before they have results to announce.
Tensions have been high in recent weeks after fundamentalist Islamists stormed a TV station, angry at it for showing a film they deemed blasphemous.
United Nations Secretary-General Ban ki-Moon praised Tunisia on the vote and expressed hope it would end smoothly.
“The secretary-general encourages all stakeholders to remain committed to the principles of inclusiveness and transparency throughout the remaining parts of the transition process,” a statement said.
The United States said it hoped to work with the new assembly.
“We look forward to working with the people and government of Tunisia, including the new constituent assembly, over the next phase of their country’s historic transition,” Jeffrey Feltman, assistant secretary of state for Near-Eastern Affairs, said in Algiers.
Tunisia sparked what has become known as the Arab Spring.
The suicide of vegetable seller Mohamed Bouazizi, who set himself on fire in despair over poverty and government harassment, provoked mass protests which ended Ben Ali’s 23-year grip on power.
This in turn inspired uprisings in Egypt, Libya, Yemen, Syria and Bahrain which have re-shaped the political landscape of the Middle East and North Africa.
Ennahda’s fortunes may have a bearing on Egyptian elections set for next month in which the Muslim Brotherhood, an ideological ally, also hopes to emerge strongest.
Western diplomats say Ennahda is unlikely to win a majority in the assembly, forcing it to make alliances with secularist parties and therefore diluting its influence.
Ennahda’s leader Rachid Ghannouchi, who spent 22 years in exile in Britain, models his party on the moderate Islamist rule of Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan.
He says his party will respect women’s rights and not try to enforce any personal morality code on Tunisians.
But the prospect of it winning a share of power still makes some people feel uncomfortable in Tunisia.
The country has secular traditions which go back to its first president after independence from France. He called the hijab, or Islamic head scarf, an “odious rag.”
When Ghannouchi emerged from the polling station where he cast his vote Sunday, about a dozen secularists shouted at him: “Go away” and “You are a terrorist and an assassin! Go back to London!”
“I’m not so optimistic about the result of the vote,” said Ziyed Tijiani, a 26-year-old architect, after he cast his ballot Sunday.
“The Islamists could win. It’s not what I want. They may try to change the way I live,” he said, accompanied by a young woman in jeans and a T-shirt.
Across the country Sunday, queues stretched hundreds of meters (yards) outside polling stations from early in the morning.
“This is the first time I have voted,” said Karima Ben Salem, 45, at a polling station in the Lafayette area of Tunis.
“I’ve asked the boys to make their own lunch. I don’t care … Today I am not on duty. Or rather, I am on duty for my country,” she said.
An Ennahda victory would be the first Islamist success in the Arab world since Hamas won a 2006 Palestinian vote. Islamists won a 1991 election in Algeria, Tunisia’s neighbor, but the army annulled the result, provoking years of conflict.
Tunisia has a tiny minority of hardline Islamists, but the policies Ennahda espouses are more in keeping with mainstream Tunisia, where most people take a laid-back view of Islam’s strictures on things like drinking alcohol.
“This morning I voted for Ennahda and this evening I am going to drink a few beers,” said Makram, a young man from the working class Ettadamen neighborhood of Tunis.
Yet observers say there is tension inside the party between Ghannouchi’s moderate line and more vehement Islamists among the rank-and-file.