Stock futures ease ahead of payrolls data 07 Oct 11

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange October 4, 2011.

By Edward Krudy

NEW YORK | Fri Oct 7, 2011 7:41am EDT

(Reuters) – Stock index futures eased on Friday after a three-day Wall Street rally as investors awaited a closely watched monthly report on employment, which is expected to show moderate gains after last month’s flat reading.

* Economists forecast a total of 60,000 jobs were created in September, compared with no new jobs in August. Some tentative signs of improvement in recent economic numbers have helped calm fears the global economy was slipping back into recession.

* “The market is on hold obviously waiting for the unemployment number,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Rockwell Global Capital in New York. “Any surprises above and beyond market expectations, then the market might respond to that.”

* The Labor Department release its non-farm payrolls report at 8:30 EDT. The unemployment rate is seen unchanged at 9.1 percent.

* S&P 500 futures were down 4 points and below fair value, a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates, dividends and time to expiration on the contract. Dow Jones industrial average futures fell 20 points, and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 3 points.

* Cardillo said investors would also be firmly focused on Europe. Optimism the region was on track in resolving its sovereign debt crisis helped drive a 6 percent rally in the S&P 500 over the last three sessions.

* “It’s is all about the employment data and hopes for more good news from Europe over the weekend,” Cardillo said.

* Investors have been focused on weakness in Europe’s banking system. Credit agency Moody’s cut its ratings on British banks Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LLOY.L) and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (RBS.L) on Friday and said it expected the U.K. government would have to continue to support the country’s systemically important banks.

* Early Friday, the FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index of top European shares was little changed after two days of sharp gains. The European Central Bank offered on Thursday to help struggling banks. Japan’s Nikkei average .N225 closed up 1 percent.

* The Bank of Japan kept monetary policy unchanged on Friday, holding off from tapping its depleted policy arsenal for now although fears of a global recession and Europe’s debt crisis were clouding the outlook for the fragile economy.

* From a technical perspective, the S&P 500 remains in a downtrend. The index has been trapped in a range in the past few months, deteriorating into lower lows. The index’s wide range is seen from about 1,100 to 1,250.

* The Commerce Department releases wholesale inventories for August at 10 a.m. EDT. Economists predicted inventories to rise 0.5 percent versus a 0.8 percent increase in July.